Le monde à l'horizon 2030 | Nicolas Tenzer

EAN : 9782262026684

Shaping : BROCHE

Pages : 300

Size : 140 x 210 mm

Voir la fiche produit

THE WORLD IN 2030

Nicolas Tenzer

Release date : 20/01/2011

An original essay that presents the world of tomorrow in an entirely different light than that of most current geopolitical predictions.
Anyone who envisions a world of tomorrow based solely on the tensions of today?radical Islam, the war in Afghanistan, conflicts over natural gas and petrol, the economic expansion of... An original essay that presents the world of tomorrow in an entirely different light than that of most current geopolitical predictions.
Anyone who envisions a world of tomorrow based solely on the tensions of today?radical Islam, the war in Afghanistan, conflicts over natural gas and petrol, the economic expansion of China?may be limiting his powers of anticipation considerably. In this work, Nicolas Tenzer attempts not to predict the future, but to understand how a multitude of dynamics will lead to a world dominated by other influences, one that will be utterly foreign to the one we know at present, a system built on seven foundations:
1. a world without poles or major structured regions (a multi-polar world of the future is a delusion);
2. a new distribution of wealth (in which China will no longer represent a danger but will be a determining element in world stability?and Russia, which will have virtually disappeared from the scene and will be even less dangerous-);
3. the return of Nation-States, which implies the weakening power of international organizations;
4. new powers of influence which will no longer function through classic diplomatic channels;
5. a new hierarchy, if not oligarchy, of powers;
6. a new conception of peoples (now to be the main actors in international relations, paradoxically, also contributing to peace)
7. new leaders, who will upset the balance of power and marginalize the influence of western politicians.
In this essay, scarcely typical of the work of French thinkers, Nicolas Tenzer takes us on a fascinating journey covering the map of the new world powers of the future, where the United States will remain the sole figure of universalism, describing the rise of a new global configuration where the players will be both more numerous and more mobile. This may well be a good omen.

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Voir la fiche produit

EAN : 9782262026684

Shaping : BROCHE

Pages : 300

Size : 140 x 210 mm

See the product page